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Unexpected Wins Tied to Increased Risk Taking

Researchers from the University of Tsukuba have developed a model called “dynamic prospect theory” that combines prospect theory and reinforcement learning theory. This model explains decision-making under uncertainty and accurately describes the choices made by humans and monkeys in gambling experiments. The study found that both humans and monkeys tend to behave as if they believe they are more likely to win again after unexpected wins. The researchers observed that this change in behavior is driven by a shift in the perception of probabilities rather than the valuation of rewards. The study suggests that investigating the monkey brain can provide insights into the brain mechanisms involved in risky decision-making and the perception of rewards.


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The ideas expressed here are solely the opinions of the author and are not researched or verified by AGEIST LLC, or anyone associated with AGEIST LLC. This material should not be construed as medical advice or recommendation, it is for informational use only. We encourage all readers to discuss with your qualified practitioners the relevance of the application of any of these ideas to your life. The recommendations contained herein are not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent any disease. You should always consult your physician or other qualified health provider before starting any new treatment or stopping any treatment that has been prescribed for you by your physician or other qualified health provider. Please call your doctor or 911 immediately if you think you may have a medical or psychiatric emergency.

Taylor Marks
Taylor Marks is a certified holistic health coach and professionally trained chef from The Institute of Culinary Education. Her passions include the latest research in health science, culinary arts, holistic wellness, and guiding others towards feeling their best.